SPL Round 3

Heart of Midlothian vs Motherwell analysis

Heart of Midlothian Motherwell
83 ELO 66
-12.2% Tilt 1.2%
472º General ELO ranking 633º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
79.7%
Heart of Midlothian
14.1%
Draw
6.2%
Motherwell

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.2%
Win probability
Motherwell
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+11%
+6%
Motherwell

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
Motherwell
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 1914
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
27%
23%
51%
83 63 20 0
26 Sep. 1914
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
64%
21%
15%
83 74 9 0
21 Sep. 1914
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
71%
17%
12%
83 72 11 0
19 Sep. 1914
GLA
Rangers
1 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
57%
22%
21%
83 83 0 0
12 Sep. 1914
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
5 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
82%
13%
5%
83 62 21 0

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 1914
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 2
Third Lanark
TLA
28%
24%
48%
66 83 17 0
26 Sep. 1914
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 3
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
19%
18%
67 62 5 -1
19 Sep. 1914
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
61%
24%
15%
67 74 7 0
12 Sep. 1914
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
65%
20%
15%
67 67 0 0
05 Sep. 1914
PAR
Partick Thistle
4 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
63%
22%
16%
68 68 0 -1