SPL Round 5

Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis

Heart of Midlothian Kilmarnock
83 ELO 73
-0.3% Tilt 7.2%
472º General ELO ranking 528º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
67.9%
Heart of Midlothian
17.4%
Draw
14.7%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.7%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+14%
-4%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 1932
CLY
Clyde
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
27%
22%
52%
83 68 15 0
19 Nov. 1932
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 5
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
26%
21%
53%
83 63 20 0
12 Nov. 1932
QUE
Queen's Park
2 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
39%
22%
39%
83 71 12 0
05 Nov. 1932
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
6 - 1
Hamilton Academical
HAM
58%
20%
22%
83 78 5 0
29 Oct. 1932
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
31%
22%
47%
83 68 15 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 1932
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
77%
12%
10%
73 62 11 0
19 Nov. 1932
KIL
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Queen's Park
QUE
63%
17%
20%
73 72 1 0
12 Nov. 1932
HAM
Hamilton Academical
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
66%
17%
17%
73 77 4 0
05 Nov. 1932
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
Aberdeen
ABE
43%
22%
35%
72 81 9 +1
29 Oct. 1932
GLA
Rangers
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
70%
16%
14%
72 83 11 0