Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 4
HOM
34%
26%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 3
RAI
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ALL
1 - 3
HOM
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
DUN
3 - 1
HOM
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
HOM
3 - 1
ARB
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 0
AYR
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 0
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
ICT
1 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARB
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 3
DUN
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |