Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 1
HOM
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
QOS
0 - 3
HOM
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HOM
5 - 0
LIV
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
3 - 0
HOM
78%
14%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HOM
5 - 1
CWB
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HIB
0 - 0
DUM
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DUM
0 - 0
CWB
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DUM
3 - 1
ALL
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 1
DUM
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DUM
0 - 0
HOM
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |