Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
6º
4º
99
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
92 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
99 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HOM
6 - 1
ROS
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 0
HOM
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HOM
0 - 2
STM
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 1
HOM
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 0
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GLA
0 - 1
CEL
43%
22%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 1
MHE
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 4
CEL
13%
19%
68%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 2
GLA
51%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 2
CEL
14%
19%
68%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |