Le Havre II vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
12º
11º
47
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 39 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
10º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 29 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
56% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEH
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LEH
0 - 2
AGC
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LMU
1 - 0
LEH
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LEH
0 - 0
QUE
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 2
LEH
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
DIE
43%
24%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ALE
5 - 2
FLE
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LMU
1 - 2
ALE
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 2
ALE
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
DIV
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |