Le Havre vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
LUS
2 - 3
LHA
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 0
LOR
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 0
LHA
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 0
LHA
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
LHA
3 - 2
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
VAL
2 - 2
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIO
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CHA
3 - 0
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
RCE
0 - 0
VAL
7%
17%
76%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 0
IST
43%
27%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |