Le Havre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
LHA
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
LHA
2 - 0
STL
56%
26%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
LHA
2 - 0
TOU
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 0
LHA
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
LHA
3 - 2
VAL
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DIJ
0 - 0
ASN
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
LEN
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 0
ASN
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ASN
2 - 0
RED
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |