Havířov vs Frenstat pod Radhostem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
15º
3º
38
10º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havířov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TJR
1 - 2
HAV
12%
15%
74%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 1
TJU
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KRN
1 - 1
HAV
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BIL
1 - 1
HAV
54%
19%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
BOS
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Frenstat pod Radhostem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FPR
3 - 4
BIL
24%
21%
56%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BOS
4 - 0
FPR
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FPR
1 - 1
JES
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 0
FPR
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FPR
5 - 1
SOB
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |