Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
6º
2º
25
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
HAV
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 3
PON
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
2 - 3
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |