Haverfordwest County vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
HAV
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TNS
0 - 0
HAV
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
HAV
3 - 1
WEL
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
AIR
2 - 4
HAV
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 3
RHY
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 4
POR
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LLA
1 - 1
CEF
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
AIR
2 - 1
CEF
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |