Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 0
HAV
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HAV
3 - 0
GOY
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 2
HAV
11%
15%
75%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 0
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
NEW
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 5
FLI
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
AAF
0 - 4
CAR
8%
14%
78%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
FLI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CAR
6 - 0
CEF
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |