Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
HAV
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
HAV
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 0
BAL
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
HAV
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
CEF
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 3
ABE
64%
20%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 4
NEW
26%
24%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |