Havant & Waterlooville vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 1
STA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HAV
5 - 1
HIG
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HAV
4 - 0
CAN
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 2
HAV
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 2
HAV
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BIL
3 - 0
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HAY
0 - 2
WOR
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 4
WIN
73%
15%
11%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 6
WOR
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
3 - 3
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |