Hastings United vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
HAS
3 - 2
HYT
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HAS
2 - 2
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 1
HAS
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SIT
2 - 1
HAS
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
HAS
2 - 1
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HYT
1 - 1
GUE
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
GUE
3 - 1
BUR
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GUE
4 - 2
TOW
75%
15%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUE
1 - 1
SIT
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 3
GUE
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |