Hassocks vs Newhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hassocks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
HAS
1 - 1
LIN
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HAS
2 - 0
STC
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
PEA
3 - 2
HAS
63%
18%
19%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HAS
2 - 2
AUC
32%
22%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HAS
1 - 2
TOW
16%
18%
67%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Newhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 4
JBF
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SAL
3 - 1
NEW
41%
22%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 4
NEW
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
6 - 1
CAM
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
BEX
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |