Hartley Wintney vs Gosport Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
HAR
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
SWI
54%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
WIM
0 - 0
HAR
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 1
DOR
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GOS
1 - 0
HEN
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
GOS
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 0
GOS
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GOS
3 - 0
TAU
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +5 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
WEY
2 - 1
GOS
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |