Hartley Wintney vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
55.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
HAR
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 3
HAR
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TIV
2 - 0
HAR
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 0
DOR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 4
HAR
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 2
WHI
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
AFT
1 - 3
EAS
17%
19%
64%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NOT
4 - 0
EAS
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
WRE
0 - 0
EAS
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 2
EAS
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |