Hartley Wintney vs Dorchester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 4
POO
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 1
YAT
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DAG
1 - 0
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
0 - 2
SAL
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 2
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
DOR
2 - 1
GOS
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
TAU
2 - 1
DOR
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 6
SAL
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 0
DOR
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |