EFL Cup . 1/64
Global 5-3
Hartlepool United vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
BCF
2 - 0
HAR
66%
19%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
HAR
1 - 8
PLY
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
WRE
2 - 0
HAR
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1994 |
BAR
3 - 2
HAR
55%
25%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
HAR
2 - 1
BRO
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
BCF
2 - 0
HAR
66%
19%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
DAR
1 - 0
BCF
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
BCF
0 - 1
ROC
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
CHE
1 - 1
BCF
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1994 |
BCF
0 - 0
GIL
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |