Hartford Athletic vs Philadelphia Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
HAA
2 - 1
NYO
48%
20%
32%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NYC
2 - 0
HAA
87%
9%
3%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HAA
0 - 1
LOU
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
NYO
0 - 2
HAA
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
2 - 3
HAA
26%
22%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
PHU
0 - 4
RIC
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PIT
2 - 1
PHU
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
2 - 3
HAA
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NYO
5 - 4
PHU
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
HAA
1 - 1
PHU
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |