Hartai vs ESMTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ESM
2 - 0
PEN
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ESM
2 - 2
CEG
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ESM
0 - 3
BUD
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
ESM
36%
25%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ESM
4 - 1
III
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |