Harrow Borough vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HAY
3 - 0
HAR
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 1
PLY
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAN
2 - 1
HAR
67%
17%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 2
SHO
22%
21%
56%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 2
BRA
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
4 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 3
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
FOL
18%
20%
62%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
POT
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |