Harrow Borough vs Hastings United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
HAR
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
KIN
4 - 2
HAR
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 1
THU
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LEW
4 - 2
HAR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 0
HOR
25%
25%
51%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HAS
2 - 1
WIN
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HAS
2 - 2
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 0
HAS
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HAS
0 - 2
MET
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LOW
1 - 3
HAS
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |