Harrow Borough vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 2
HAR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
MET
3 - 2
HAR
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 5
EAS
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
DUL
4 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
BIL
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 4
EAS
13%
18%
69%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 3
CAN
51%
23%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
FAR
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LEW
3 - 1
CAN
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |