Harrogate Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOW
2 - 1
HAR
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
TOW
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 1
EVE
47%
23%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 2
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
TOW
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 1
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
IPS
17%
25%
58%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAM
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
HAR
49%
23%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |