Harrogate Town vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
TOW
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TOW
6 - 0
UNM
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
TOW
4 - 3
ALF
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
KID
0 - 2
TOW
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 3
TOW
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 0
GAI
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
GAI
2 - 3
STO
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
GAI
1 - 2
BRA
14%
22%
64%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GAI
1 - 0
KID
19%
24%
58%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
GAI
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |