Harlow Town vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HEY
0 - 1
HAR
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ILF
1 - 2
HAR
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 2
THA
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 3
WAL
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 0
HAR
12%
20%
67%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 2
MAL
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 7
HEN
14%
20%
65%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
AVE
71%
19%
11%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
BUR
14%
21%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
EAS
4 - 1
AVE
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |