Harkemase Boys vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
72.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
WHC
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
HAR
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 0
DET
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 1
BER
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VVO
1 - 2
HAR
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ADO
1 - 1
NEC
50%
24%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 3
FEY
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 2
RKC
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 5
ZWO
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |