Estonia Third Division West / South Round 24

Harju JK Laagri II vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis

Harju JK Laagri II Vaprus Pärnu II
49 ELO 40
9.2% Tilt 9%
48777º General ELO ranking 36254º
396º Country ELO ranking 263º
ELO win probability
59.7%
Harju JK Laagri II
19.8%
Draw
20.6%
Vaprus Pärnu II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
Harju JK Laagri II
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.6%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu II
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Harju JK Laagri II
-16%
-5%
Vaprus Pärnu II

ELO progression

Harju JK Laagri II
Vaprus Pärnu II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Harju JK Laagri II
Harju JK Laagri II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2023
HLA
Harju JK Laagri II
8 - 0
Poseidon JK
JKP
88%
8%
4%
48 11 37 0
06 Oct. 2023
KEI
Keila JK
1 - 3
Harju JK Laagri II
HLA
13%
15%
72%
48 22 26 0
01 Oct. 2023
TAB
JK Tabasalu II
1 - 3
Harju JK Laagri II
HLA
18%
21%
62%
47 29 18 +1
24 Sep. 2023
JKT
JK Tervis Pärnu
2 - 6
Harju JK Laagri II
HLA
67%
18%
15%
45 52 7 +2
17 Sep. 2023
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
1 - 6
Harju JK Laagri II
HLA
34%
23%
43%
44 35 9 +1

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu II
Vaprus Pärnu II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2023
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
4 - 1
Nõmme United II
NOU
73%
15%
12%
41 29 12 0
14 Oct. 2023
HII
Hiiumaa
4 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
21%
19%
60%
43 33 10 -2
08 Oct. 2023
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
2 - 1
FC Flora Tallin III
FLO
44%
24%
32%
41 42 1 +2
29 Sep. 2023
SJL
Saue JK Laagri
0 - 4
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
44%
21%
35%
40 38 2 +1
24 Sep. 2023
SSP
Saku Sporting
1 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
19%
17%
64%
39 27 12 +1