Harju JK Laagri vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
53
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 0
HJP
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HJP
12 - 0
FPC
89%
8%
3%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
HJP
3 - 0
TAM
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
HJP
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
KUR
0 - 4
PAI
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 2
B36
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
B36
0 - 0
PAI
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 0
FLO
32%
24%
44%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAI
11%
21%
68%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |