Harju JK Laagri vs FC Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
7º
1º
53
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
6 - 0
PAI
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 2
HJP
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
HJP
50%
23%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HJP
4 - 3
TAB
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HJP
4 - 2
LEV
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
WEL
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 1
FCT
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FCT
4 - 0
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCT
8 - 1
PAI
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 2
FCT
37%
23%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |