Hard vs WSG Tirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
68.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 2
SCH
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TSV
0 - 3
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 0
SWB
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
REI
2 - 2
HAR
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 0
PIN
49%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
WSG Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
USC
3 - 1
WAT
10%
16%
74%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
0 - 2
MAT
15%
19%
66%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
1 - 0
KUF
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FCW
3 - 3
WAT
14%
18%
68%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 1
DOR
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |