Hard vs Seekirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
KIT
4 - 3
HAR
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
STJ
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
USC
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KUF
3 - 1
HAR
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
FCW
42%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Seekirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SEE
3 - 3
USC
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
KUF
4 - 0
SEE
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SEE
0 - 2
FCW
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 1
SEE
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SEE
0 - 1
SCR
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |