Hard vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
STJ
0 - 1
HAR
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HAR
2 - 0
FCH
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
HAL
1 - 2
HAR
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 0
HOH
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 2
HAR
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SWB
4 - 1
AXG
82%
13%
6%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ANI
3 - 1
SWB
13%
21%
66%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SWB
4 - 0
SEE
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
WAT
1 - 1
SWB
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SWB
2 - 1
DOR
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |