Hard vs Reichenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 1
HAR
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 0
SEE
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
KIT
4 - 3
HAR
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
STJ
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
USC
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reichenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
REI
2 - 2
USC
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
KUF
5 - 0
REI
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
REI
2 - 2
FCW
16%
20%
65%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 0
REI
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REI
1 - 2
SCR
28%
24%
49%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |