Hard vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ANI
0 - 2
HAR
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
HAR
3 - 2
RBJ
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
HAL
0 - 2
HAR
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
HAR
5 - 1
VIB
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
SCH
1 - 5
HAR
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
HOH
4 - 1
HAL
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
HOH
1 - 0
BLA
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 1
HOH
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
HOH
3 - 0
SKR
67%
17%
15%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
RBJ
0 - 1
HOH
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |