Hard vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
NEN
0 - 0
HAR
16%
23%
61%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
HAR
6 - 1
TII
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2000 |
HAR
2 - 1
SAL
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2000 |
SAL
1 - 0
HAR
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
HAR
0 - 1
VOR
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
HOH
2 - 1
KIR
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
REI
1 - 1
HOH
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
HOH
1 - 2
PUC
25%
26%
49%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 0
HOH
17%
23%
60%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
KUN
2 - 2
HOH
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |