Hard vs USK Anif analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 0
HAR
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
TSV
0 - 3
HAR
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SVA
4 - 1
HAR
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 1
FCW
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BIZ
0 - 2
HAR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
USK Anif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ANI
4 - 1
USC
64%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
ANI
1 - 1
BRA
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
STR
2 - 4
ANI
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
ANI
5 - 1
ALT
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ANI
9 - 0
HAL
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |