Harborough Town vs Oadby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 2
SHI
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MIC
8 - 0
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -4 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 1
TEV
80%
14%
7%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Oadby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
QUO
1 - 3
OAD
82%
12%
7%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DES
3 - 1
OAD
38%
24%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |