Happy Valley Reserve vs Sun Pegasus Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Happy Valley Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
13 - 0
HVR
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
HVR
1 - 14
YLO
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
HVR
0 - 14
DRE
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
KIT
1 - 6
HVR
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 5
HVR
22%
21%
56%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
PEG
6 - 3
ESA
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
RRE
4 - 2
PEG
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
PEG
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
DRE
2 - 2
PEG
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
PEG
3 - 3
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |