Happy Boys vs Jong Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Happy Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 3
HAP
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HAP
3 - 0
SLE
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
HAP
2 - 1
SLE
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TAH
0 - 5
HAP
16%
19%
66%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ACO
3 - 2
HAP
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOE
2 - 0
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 5
BIN
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 3
KAM
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 4
ACO
20%
19%
62%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SFC
2 - 1
AUR
66%
17%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |