Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HBS
1 - 0
HAP
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 1
HBS
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
HBS
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HBS
1 - 1
MAC
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
HBS
2 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
YOB
3 - 0
LUG
70%
17%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 1
STG
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 6
LUG
4%
11%
85%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |