Haninge vs IF Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
9º
6º
34
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 59 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 58 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 56 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 40 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 26 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haninge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 3
HAN
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HAN
5 - 1
VAS
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
ENK
0 - 0
HAN
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HTF
1 - 0
HAN
49%
22%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 1
HAN
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 1
STO
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 1
ASS
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
THO
1 - 4
KAR
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ORE
2 - 2
KAR
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
3 - 1
TRO
50%
22%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |