Hamoir vs Acren Lessines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
15º
18º
18º
33
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
84.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
73% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
72.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 34 |
16º
|
90.5% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
17º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamoir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LAC
2 - 1
HAM
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 3
STO
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TOU
3 - 2
HAM
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 1
HAM
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 1
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Acren Lessines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACR
3 - 3
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 3
ACR
60%
20%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ACR
1 - 2
GEN
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
REB
2 - 2
ACR
59%
21%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ACR
3 - 1
WAR
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +3 |