Scottish Championship Round 11

Hamilton Academical vs Ayr United analysis

Hamilton Academical Ayr United
63 ELO 59
-12% Tilt -6.9%
1967º General ELO ranking 852º
23º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
52.5%
Hamilton Academical
25.2%
Draw
22.3%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
Hamilton Academical
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.3%
Win probability
Ayr United
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamilton Academical
-19%
-14%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Hamilton Academical
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2011
ROS
Ross County FC
1 - 0
Hamilton Academical
HAM
45%
27%
28%
64 63 1 0
15 Oct. 2011
GRE
Greenock Morton
0 - 2
Hamilton Academical
HAM
38%
27%
35%
64 58 6 0
09 Oct. 2011
HAM
Hamilton Academical
1 - 0
Livingston
LIV
36%
26%
39%
63 65 2 +1
01 Oct. 2011
HAM
Hamilton Academical
0 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
38%
28%
34%
64 67 3 -1
24 Sep. 2011
DUN
Dundee
0 - 1
Hamilton Academical
HAM
49%
26%
25%
63 63 0 +1

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2011
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
55%
24%
21%
57 68 11 0
22 Oct. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 3
Dundee
DUN
43%
27%
30%
58 62 4 -1
15 Oct. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 0
Livingston
LIV
34%
26%
40%
58 64 6 0
01 Oct. 2011
ROS
Ross County FC
4 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
51%
25%
24%
59 62 3 -1
24 Sep. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
55%
24%
21%
59 57 2 0