Bundesliga U19 Special Stage - League A Round 1

Hamburger SV U19 vs B. Dortmund U19 analysis

 Hamburger SV U19 B. Dortmund U19
30 ELO 38
8.8% Tilt 13.8%
9225º General ELO ranking 7007º
443º Country ELO ranking 348º
ELO win probability
20.7%
Hamburger SV U19
19.4%
Draw
59.8%
B. Dortmund U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
 Hamburger SV U19
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
59.8%
Win probability
B. Dortmund U19
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
 Hamburger SV U19
+34%
-11%
B. Dortmund U19

Points and table prediction

 Hamburger SV U19
Their league position
B. Dortmund U19
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
14º
4
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RB Leipzig U19
9
9
0%
Wolfsburg U19
9
9
100%
VfL Bochum U19
9
9
0%
Köln U19
9
9
100%
SC Paderborn U19
7
7
0%
VfB Stuttgart U19
7
7
0%
Bayern München U19
7
7
100%
B. Leverkusen U19
7
7
0%
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen U19
7
7
0%
B. Mönchengladbach U19
10º
6
6
10º
100%
Hoffenheim U19
12º
6
6
11º
100%
Nürnberg U19
11º
6
6
12º
0%
Werder Bremen U19
13º
6
6
13º
0%
 Hamburger SV U19
15º
4
4
14º
0%
B. Dortmund U19
14º
4
4
15º
0%
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
16º
4
4
16º
0%
Mainz 05 U19
17º
3
3
17º
0%
Energie Cottbus U19
21º
3
3
18º
0%
Heidenheim U19
19º
3
3
19º
0%
Darmstadt 98 U19
20º
3
3
20º
0%
Hertha BSC U19
22º
3
3
21º
0%
Hansa Rostock U19
18º
3
3
22º
0%
Union Berlin U19
24º
1
1
23º
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
23º
1
1
24º
0%
FC Augsburg U19
26º
0
0
25º
0%
MSV Duisburg U19
25º
0
0
26º
0%
Expected probabilities
 Hamburger SV U19
B. Dortmund U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

 Hamburger SV U19
B. Dortmund U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV U19
 Hamburger SV U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
HAM
 Hamburger SV U19
1 - 1
St. Pauli U19
PAU
59%
19%
22%
28 24 4 0
01 Apr. 2023
WBR
Werder Bremen U19
2 - 5
 Hamburger SV U19
HAM
62%
18%
20%
27 31 4 +1
25 Mar. 2023
HOL
Holstein Kiel U19
1 - 2
 Hamburger SV U19
HAM
21%
20%
59%
26 19 7 +1
11 Mar. 2023
COT
Energie Cottbus U19
2 - 3
 Hamburger SV U19
HAM
25%
21%
54%
26 21 5 0
04 Mar. 2023
HAM
 Hamburger SV U19
2 - 2
1. FC Magdeburg U19
FCM
65%
18%
17%
26 22 4 0

Matches

B. Dortmund U19
B. Dortmund U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
4 - 2
B. Dortmund U19
BOR
29%
21%
50%
41 34 7 0
15 Apr. 2023
BOR
B. Dortmund U19
0 - 1
Hertha BSC U19
HER
55%
22%
23%
42 37 5 -1
10 Apr. 2023
HER
Hertha BSC U19
0 - 4
B. Dortmund U19
BOR
43%
23%
34%
40 39 1 +2
15 Mar. 2023
BOR
B. Dortmund U19
1 - 1
Hajduk Split U19
HAJ
22%
22%
56%
40 51 11 0
11 Mar. 2023
LEV
B. Leverkusen U19
1 - 2
B. Dortmund U19
BOR
8%
14%
78%
39 19 20 +1