Hamburger SV vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
EIN
2 - 2
HSV
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
SLP
3 - 1
HSV
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
HSV
4 - 1
SLP
66%
18%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
HSV
0 - 0
HER
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
S04
2 - 3
HSV
35%
25%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
MSV
3 - 4
MUN
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
KAI
3 - 0
MSV
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
MSV
0 - 0
HAN
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
MON
1 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1968 |
MSV
2 - 1
OFC
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |