Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
WOL
4 - 1
HSV
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 1
HSV
13%
19%
68%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HSV
2 - 2
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 2
HSV
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HSV
2 - 1
SVS
67%
20%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
F95
5 - 0
PRE
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
F95
2 - 3
PAD
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ING
1 - 2
F95
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
F95
1 - 1
SSV
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 1
F95
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |