Hamburger SV vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
AUG
0 - 2
HSV
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HSV
0 - 1
STU
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SGF
0 - 1
HSV
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HSV
1 - 0
HAN
32%
26%
41%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
HSV
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
BYM
4 - 0
KAI
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BYM
1 - 2
LEV
69%
18%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
0 - 1
BYM
25%
22%
53%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
F95
0 - 5
BYM
8%
17%
76%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 0
HOF
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |